Showing posts with label Moore's Law. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moore's Law. Show all posts

Saturday, September 13, 2025

The Key to HBM Performance: How Hybrid Bonding Will Change Semiconductors

 

With HBM4 and the AI era upon us, why is everyone suddenly talking about ‘hybrid bonding?’

We’ll break down everything you need to know about this revolutionary packaging technology that gets rid of solder balls—from its core principles to the fierce nanometer-scale challenges, its difficult path to HBM integration, and what it means for the future.

Recently, the AI semiconductor market heated up once again with SK Hynix's announcement that they’ve successfully developed and started mass production of HBM4. The news had experts and investors focused on a single question: ‘Did they actually use the so-called “dream technology,” hybrid bonding, in this version of HBM4?’

The short answer is, not yet. It appears that the initial production of HBM4 will use an advanced version of existing technology (MR-MUF), while hybrid bonding is still being developed as a ‘key future technology’ for ultra-high-stack HBM with 16 or more layers, or for the next generation of memory. However, hybrid bonding has moved beyond being just an option; it's now a critical turning point in the semiconductor packaging race.

My background is in mechanical engineering, but I’ve also studied law and worked on a master's in AI computing, handling numerous patents in the memory semiconductor industry. Through this, I’ve come to a firm belief: ‘The more complex the technology, the more crucial it is to explain it in a way that more people can understand.’ This article is my attempt to build a small bridge between the technology and the market.

 

1. Why the Sudden Focus on Advanced Packaging?

The game of semiconductor performance is changing. The competition is no longer just about how finely you can etch circuits inside a chip. The focus is shifting to ‘how well you can connect and stack’ those chips—in other words, packaging.

The biggest reason for this shift is that ‘Moore's Law’ isn't what it used to be. The cost and technical difficulty of making circuits smaller have skyrocketed. So, it's now more efficient, both in terms of performance and cost, to create smaller, specialized chips called ‘chiplets’ and then assemble them like LEGOs.

Especially in fields like AI and High-Performance Computing (HPC), which need to process staggering amounts of data, how quickly and efficiently you can connect these chiplets has become the key factor that determines performance.

πŸ’‘ So, what was wrong with the old way?
The traditional method using ‘solder bumps’ has clear physical limitations. The spacing (pitch) of these tiny solder balls is measured in tens of micrometers, and their size makes it incredibly difficult to dramatically increase the number of data pathways (I/O density). Technologies like SK Hynix’s MR-MUF are improvements, but they are still extensions of bump-based technology, not a fundamental solution.

 

2. Hybrid Bonding: The Magic of ‘Direct Connection’

This led to a new idea: “Let’s just get rid of the bumps altogether!” That’s the start of hybrid bonding. The core concept is ‘direct connection.’ It’s a technology that bonds the copper pads and their surrounding insulating material directly to each other without any intermediate material, fusing the wafer or chip surfaces at an atomic level.

The process demands extreme precision. First, a process called CMP (Chemical-Mechanical Polishing) makes the wafer surface unbelievably smooth—so smooth that imperfections just a few atoms high are unacceptable. Next, the surface is activated with plasma to prepare it for bonding. Then, the two surfaces are aligned with incredible accuracy and brought into contact at room temperature, where they weakly stick together due to molecular forces. Finally, an annealing (heating) step allows the copper atoms and insulator molecules to diffuse into each other, forming a powerful and permanent bond.

⚠️ So what’s the big deal?
With no bumps, the connection pitch can be reduced to hundreds of nanometers. This means you can create millions of I/O connections per square millimeter. The shorter path drastically reduces electrical resistance and signal interference, leading to much higher speeds and significantly lower power consumption. The direct copper contact also improves heat dissipation, and the overall package becomes thinner.

 

3. A Nanometer-Scale War: The Challenges Ahead

While the benefits are clear, the reality of implementing it is a ‘war fought at the nanometer scale.’ The technical hurdles are immense.

  • Surface Flatness: Even a tiny bump just a few atoms high can cause the bond to fail. The surface needs to be far smoother than a billiard table. Managing the CMP process is key to achieving good yields.
  • Surface Cleanliness: A single nanoparticle can ruin the connection. Plasma dicing is preferred over traditional blade dicing because it generates fewer particles.
  • Alignment Accuracy: To connect pads with a pitch of a few hundred nanometers, the alignment error must be within tens of nanometers—a fraction of the width of a human hair. This requires real-time correction for tiny amounts of wafer warpage.
  • Copper Oxidation: Even a thin layer of oxidation on the copper surface can prevent a bond, making it one of the biggest headaches. Solutions involve bonding in a vacuum or coating the surface with less reactive metals.
  • Dielectric Material: Choosing the right insulator involves a trade-off between thermal expansion, bonding strength, and electrical properties, requiring careful selection of materials like SiO2, SiCN, or polymers.

 

4. W2W vs. D2W: The Two Faces of Hybrid Bonding

Hybrid bonding comes in two main flavors: Wafer-to-Wafer (W2W), ideal for mass production, and Die-to-Wafer (D2W), used for more complex, precise structures.

Category Wafer-to-Wafer (W2W) Die-to-Wafer (D2W)
Concept Bonds two entire wafers at once. Bonds individual, pre-tested good dies onto a wafer.
Features High throughput, relatively simple process. Can exclude defective dies, essential for heterogeneous integration.
Applications CMOS Image Sensors, 3D NAND. HBM, AI Accelerators, Logic (Intel Foveros, etc.).

The high-quality camera sensors in our smartphones are a success story for W2W. HBM, however, requires the D2W approach to stack multiple layers of pre-tested DRAM chips, similar to carefully constructing a skyscraper one floor at a time.

πŸ’‘ The Brutal Math of D2W Yield
D2W faces a challenge on a whole different level: the brutal math of cumulative yield. For example, if the yield for bonding one layer is 99%, the final yield after stacking 10 layers becomes 0.99^10, which is only about 90%. That 1% failure rate at each step results in a 10% final defect rate. As the number of layers increases, the yield drops exponentially, which is why pre-testing for Known Good Die (KGD) is absolutely critical.

 

5. Pushing Forward and a Final Question

Despite these challenges, the technology continues to advance. Active research in ‘low-temperature bonding’ aims to bring process temperatures below 150-200°C for heat-sensitive chips like DRAM. At the same time, engineers are tackling thermal stress issues through new materials, processes, and structural designs.

Hybrid bonding is now expanding beyond sensors and HBM to logic and HPC, with technologies like Intel's ‘Foveros’ and TSMC’s ‘SoIC.’ It is unquestionably the key that will unlock the next level of chip performance and density, but it remains a pinnacle of advanced technology with a mountain of challenges to overcome.

Recently, researchers successfully bonded completely different materials at room temperature, like silicon carbide (SiC) and silicon (Si). This makes you wonder: what if, in the future, we could bond any material to another with atomic precision? What new devices could be born? What unimagined systems could become possible? I’ll leave you with that question to ponder as we conclude our deep dive.

Frequently Asked Questions ❓

Q: What makes hybrid bonding better than traditional solder bumps?
A: The biggest differences are ‘connection density’ and ‘efficiency.’ By eliminating the physical bumps, you can create far more and shorter data pathways. This leads directly to faster processing speeds and lower power consumption, which is essential for high-performance chips used in AI.
Q: What’s the biggest reason it’s so hard to apply hybrid bonding to HBM?
A: It comes down to the ‘cumulative yield’ problem. HBM involves stacking many layers of DRAM (8, 12, or even 16), which requires the Die-to-Wafer (D2W) method. Because you're bonding one chip at a time, even a tiny chance of failure at each step multiplies, drastically lowering the probability of producing a perfect final product.
Q: Is hybrid bonding already being used in commercial products?
A: Yes, it's actively used in certain areas. The best example is the ‘CMOS Image Sensor (CIS)’ in smartphone cameras. Sony adopted Wafer-to-Wafer (W2W) hybrid bonding early on to dramatically improve camera performance. However, the D2W method needed for HBM is much more complex and is still in the R&D phase.

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